Intengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa ingakhuphuka kanjani esikhathini esidlule samuva nje?

Pho kungani intengo yethusi ikhuphuke kakhulu muva nje?

Ukwenyuka kwamanani ethusi kwakamuva kube nemiphumela eminingi, kodwa sekukonke kunezizathu ezimbili ezinkulu.

Okokuqala, ukuzethemba ekukhuleni komnotho womhlaba wonke kuyabuyiselwa, futhi wonke umuntu unethemba ngentengo yethusi

Ngo-2020, ngenxa yomthelela wobhubhane olusha lwe-coronavirus, isimo somnotho womhlaba asithembisi kangako, kanti i-GDP yamazwe amaningi yehle ngaphezu kuka-5%.

Kodwa-ke, muva nje, ngokukhishwa komuthi wokugomela i-coronavirus omusha womhlaba wonke, ukuzethemba kwawo wonke umuntu ekulawulweni kobhubhane olusha lwe-coronavirus esikhathini esizayo kukhuphukile, futhi ukuzethemba kwawo wonke umuntu ekubuyiselweni komnotho womhlaba nakho kukhuphukile. Isibonelo, ngokusho kwesibikezelo se-International Monetary Fund, kulindeleke ukuthi ngo-2021, izinga lokukhula komnotho womhlaba lizofinyelela cishe ku-5.5%.

Uma umnotho womhlaba kulindeleke ukuthi ube ngcono isikhathi esithile esikhathini esizayo, khona-ke isidingo somhlaba wonke sezinto zokusetshenziswa ezahlukahlukene sizokhula kakhulu. Njengoba kuyizinto zokusetshenziswa zemikhiqizo eminingi, isidingo samanje semakethe sikhulu kakhulu, njengeminye imikhiqizo kagesi neye-elekthronikhi esiyisebenzisayo njengamanje, Imishini kanye namathuluzi okunemba cishe kuzosebenzisa ithusi, ngakho-ke ithusi lihlobene kakhulu nezimboni eziningi. Kulokhu, amanani ethusi abe yinto ebalulekile emakethe. Ngakho-ke, izinkampani eziningi zingase zikhathazeke ngamanani ethusi esikhathi esizayo futhi zithenge kusengaphambili. Izinto zethusi.

Ngakho-ke, ngokukhuphuka kwesidingo semakethe, ukwenyuka kancane kancane kwentengo yethusi nakho kulindelwe yimakethe.

Okwesibili, ukuduma kwezimali

Nakuba isidingo samanani ethusi e-imaketheikhuphuke muva nje, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi isidingo semakethe yesikhathi esizayo singase sikhuphuke kakhulu, esikhathini esifushane, amanani ethusi akhuphuke ngokushesha okukhulu, ngicabanga ukuthi akubangelwa nje kuphela isidingo semakethe, kodwa futhi kuqhutshwa yimali.

Eqinisweni, kusukela ngoMashi 2020, hhayi nje imakethe yezinto zokusetshenziswa, kodwa futhi nemakethe yamasheya kanye nezinye izimakethe zemali ziye zathinteka yimali. Ngoba imali yomhlaba wonke izobe ikhululekile phakathi no-2020. Lapho imakethe inemali eyengeziwe, ayikho indawo yokusebenzisa imali. Imali itshalwa kulezi zimakethe zemali ukuze kudlalwe imidlalo yemali. Emidlalweni yemali, uma nje umuntu eqhubeka nokuthatha ama-oda, intengo ingaqhubeka ikhuphuka, ukuze imali ithole inzuzo enkulu ngaphandle komzamo.

Enkambisweni yalolu chungechunge lokwenyuka kwentengo yethusi, imali nayo idlale indima ebaluleke kakhulu. Lokhu kungabonakala emkhathini phakathi kwentengo yethusi yesikhathi esizayo kanye nentengo yethusi yamanje.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, umqondo walezi zibikezelo zemali uphansi kakhulu, futhi ezinye zazo azihilelekile, ikakhulukazi ukusabalala kwezigameko zezempilo zomphakathi, izinkinga zokugoma, kanye nezinhlekelele zemvelo sezibe yizaba zalezi zibikezelo zemali ngezimayini zethusi.

Kodwa ngokujwayelekile, kulindeleke ukuthi ukutholakala kanye nesidingo semayini yethusi yomhlaba wonke kuzoba semalini kanye nasebuningini ngo-2021. Isibonelo, ngokusho kwedatha eyabikezelwa yi-International Copper Research Group (ICSG) ngo-Okthoba 2020, kulindeleke ukuthi imayini yethusi yomhlaba wonke kanye nethusi elicwengisisiwe kuzoba ngo-2021. Umkhiqizo uzokhuphuka ube ngamathani ayizigidi ezingu-21.15 kanye namathani ayizigidi ezingu-24.81 ngokulandelana. Isidingo esifanayo sethusi elicwengisisiwe ngo-2021 sizokhuphuka sibe ngamathani ayizigidi ezingu-24.8, kodwa kuzoba khona inani elingaphezulu lamathani angaba ngu-70,000 ethusi elicwengisisiwe emakethe.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, yize ezinye izimayini zethusi zithintekile ngempela yilolu bhubhane futhi umkhiqizo wazo wehlile, ezinye zezimayini zethusi ezincishisiwe umkhiqizo zizoncishiswa yimiklamo yezimayini zethusi esanda kuqalwa kanye nomkhiqizo owandisiwe wezimayini zethusi zokuqala.